Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000098 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130 0.000143 0.000158 0.000174
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000093 0.000109 0.000129 0.000154 0.000182 0.000219
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000082 0.000101 0.000127 0.000160 0.000201 0.000257
2026-02-15 0.000056 0.000073 0.000095 0.000124 0.000164 0.000216 0.000290
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000068 0.000092 0.000125 0.000172 0.000236 0.000332
2026-03-01 0.000047 0.000065 0.000090 0.000127 0.000182 0.000259 0.000380
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000060 0.000086 0.000124 0.000183 0.000270 0.000411
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000055 0.000080 0.000120 0.000182 0.000277 0.000436
2026-03-22 0.000035 0.000053 0.000079 0.000121 0.000189 0.000297 0.000483
2026-03-29 0.000033 0.000051 0.000078 0.000123 0.000197 0.000317 0.000534
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000075 0.000121 0.000199 0.000329 0.000569
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000121 0.000203 0.000345 0.000615
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000043 0.000070 0.000119 0.000205 0.000356 0.000655
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000210 0.000375 0.000712
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000117 0.000211 0.000388 0.000758
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000063 0.000114 0.000211 0.000397 0.000797
2026-05-17 0.000020 0.000036 0.000063 0.000115 0.000218 0.000420 0.000869
2026-05-24 0.000020 0.000035 0.000062 0.000117 0.000227 0.000449 0.000956
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000114 0.000226 0.000457 0.000999
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000110 0.000223 0.000459 0.001028
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000111 0.000229 0.000484 0.001114
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000113 0.000237 0.000511 0.001208
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000028 0.000054 0.000111 0.000237 0.000523 0.001265